Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Discuss Northern Arizona weather and forecasts here.
Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 22nd, 2013, 6:36 am

Howdy to all winter enthusiasts, its starting to feel a bit like winter. Yesterday was the beginning of the first significant winter storm on the mountain. The winter snowfall records actually start with the water year on September 1....however snowpack usually doesn't accumulate till October....quite early this year.....Yesterday 11-21-13 there was 2" at 9500' to 4" at 10800' of snow recorded. This is the beginning of our natural base. Keep an eye on this one as the "fluctuating snow levels" will determine the final outcome of snowfall.....It smells a lot like coconuts and pineapple so far. I will try and post accurate accumulations as they fall. I have a good feeling about this winter. A big shout out to all who help support our big movie event, our best fund raising event ever. Ski ya all sooner than later. The Kaptain

padaza
Posts: 6
Joined: April 20th, 2011, 10:08 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby padaza » November 22nd, 2013, 10:17 am

Kaptain- do you have any info about whether snowbowl road will be open or not on saturday and sunday?

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 22nd, 2013, 12:05 pm

11-22-13 8" to 12" new in last 24 hrs with storm totals of 10 to 16 inches....still wet with very high snow levels. I don't know what the road status will be. Check the local Arizonasnowbowl.com website or your local Coconino National Forest website....We are busy training, grooming, making snow and will be opening this next Friday the 29th...........

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 24th, 2013, 6:33 am

11-23-13 another 3 to 5 inches still wet but settling nicely. Reports of some wind effect near treeline.

tripice351
Posts: 79
Joined: October 31st, 2010, 12:01 pm

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby tripice351 » November 24th, 2013, 9:24 am

Ouch, definitely didn't live up to forecast.. thanks for keeping us updated.
Marc aka tripice351

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 24th, 2013, 4:51 pm

11-24-13 Add another 4 to 6 inches to the storm totals in the last 24 hrs...There has been 17 " fall at 9500 and 27" fall at 10800 settling out a base of 12 to 22 when I left the mountain this afternoon. Its quite dense snow with lots of moisture in the snowpack....I did get a chance to look around a little bit and do a couple hasty pits at tree line....there is faceted layer of snow from October snowfall at the bottom of the snowpack on North facing slopes about 1 cm thick with all new snow on top... a bit of new snow slab is forming at tree line and above. The cover looks good for the most part but remember this is the base forming layer with nothing underneath.
Thanks for the skier compaction and expect the unexpected.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 25th, 2013, 5:03 pm

11-25-13 Another 1 to 2 in the last 24hrs.... Final snowfall for this cycle was 18" at 9500 and 29" at 10800. The sun is out and the mountain looks brilliant......stay tuned for ASB info on opening on the Arizonasnowbowl.com website.....significant winds this am with gust over 40 and lots of turbulent suspension....loading up on South and Southwest slopes at treeline. Tread gently

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » November 30th, 2013, 5:56 am

11-29-13 Snowbowl opens for 2013-2014 season with good skiing surface and conditions on Southern Belle, Little Spruce conveyor and Hart Prairie.
It was a great opening day with lots of smiles and positive energy. The first Snowpack Summary was put together with great information about our constantly evolving snowpack, posted on our Home Page. Join us this season for one of our free Intro to Avalanche sessions or sign up for a level 1 or 2.....There is a bit of wind and a little snow in the forecast, stay tuned at your local Noaa weather site.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 1st, 2013, 6:29 am

12-1-13 Happy December, another stellar day on tap for skiing above the Fog. Keep an eye on this next system, coming in with wind and a wee bit of precip........think snow

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 4th, 2013, 12:27 pm

12-4-13 2 new at 9500' 4 new at 10800' wind driven and cooling off fast. Snowing on and off most of the am...don't miss out on the powpow.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 6th, 2013, 6:38 am

12-5-13 Another 1 to 2 inches in the 24 hour cycle which ended afternoon of the 5th...3 to 6 inches from this storm cycle with conditions getting better....looking forward to this Saturday / Sunday Cycle.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 8th, 2013, 6:19 am

12-8-13 6" at 9500' and 11" at 10800' Wind driven Pow .....hoping to open more terrain today as Agassiz should be spinning. Still thin cover out there in bounds and especially out of bounds but great skiing overall....think lite turns

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 10th, 2013, 8:47 am

12-9-13 Storm totals from cycle were 8 to 12 with wind transport yesterday gusts over 55mph. Once again the ridge tops are scoured with slab developing on lee aspects......there is a ridge top inversion with higher temps at the upper elevations.....record setting cold last couple days down below the inversion. "Dangerously cold"....great skiing in the area...still bony off piste and out of bounds.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 14th, 2013, 6:48 am

12-14-13 its been a balmy couple daze with lite winds from the NW to North.....the snow has settled quite a bit with the persistent inversion and warm temps. The mountain is still skiing well on most terrain. Early season conditions exist...good to hear about the adventures happening out there already. Perhaps a little weather action later this next weekend. "Keep your tips up"

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 21st, 2013, 6:47 am

12-20-13 Got to luv it 7 to 10 inches of new with no wind.....getting good out there......better conditions here in AZ then anything I skied in Montana last week......open to top today with more terrain coming. A bit breezy this am......get some

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 22nd, 2013, 6:50 am

12-22-13 Flurries and strong winds all day yesterday adding another 1 to 2 inches of snow to the storm cycle.....total snowfall from this one was 8 to 12 give or take......the wind really messes with your surveys. Skiing is the best its been all season with almost all terrain open but the upper bowl.....its very thin out there with logsitcles and thangs lurking just below the surface....The groomers are nicely covered.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 24th, 2013, 7:05 am

12-24-13 Merry Christmas Eve...feels and looks a bit like a Spring Skiing adventure for this holiday season with great coverage, warm day time temps and lite breezy conditions...South facing slopes gaining a lot of heat and the days will be getting longer....hope Santa is good to everyone

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 26th, 2013, 6:36 am

12-26-13 Hope everyone had a great Christmas...the weather is dominated by a "High Pressure Ridge of Steel" This compressing air is causing strong winds in the am and lighter throughout the daze....the inversion is very strong with warm temps and scouring of the snow above treeline......I got a chance to see the entire Peaks from the air and noted several natural avalanches on wind loaded slopes, small but significant, mostly SE and S with a few East pockets......its definitely thin and suspect out there ....read post by Raising Arizona....very well stated and journaled adventures....Looking forward to new snow in the new year.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 29th, 2013, 6:43 am

12-30-13 The end of the year is rapidly approaching and hopefully with it a change in this "High Pressure Ridge of Steel"....There is a little cooling today with more breezy NNW in store as a little disturbance ripples thru...the snowslide site shows 1 inch at 2 am last nite ? Not sure if that is suspect or not.....in any case the High and Dry will return tomorrow with warm and dry in the forecast. the skiing is blue bird and the crowds are late getting to the ski area....get it while it lasts

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 30th, 2013, 3:47 pm

12-30-13 Spring skiing in December....melt freeze corn like conditions on some S facing slopes, warm daze and a bit breezy...the snow is settling but conditions are amazing...only one more day to ski this year.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 3rd, 2014, 6:53 am

1-3-14 Happy New Year!! coming in with above normal temperatures and winter conditions more like Spring...persistent H pressure dominating the pattern but a change is out there....tune into the latest discussions on the NOAA weather page....I personally hope for the cutoff or closed low to develop and start winter all over again....Powder will happen at some point this 2014 season....settled base at 10800' is now 24" and 9500' is 12"....skiing is still great with long shadows and days starting to get longer. Can't beat the nice weather except with a big storm Check out the trip reports from Splitboarder and Raisingarizona...nice work

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 6th, 2014, 6:24 am

1-6-14 Wind is dominating the weather pattern at ridge top elevations. 2" of fresh cinders everywhere....Speeds in the 60's yesterday and last nite....the winds have done quite a bit of scouring at tree line and we will be repairing the damage as soon as they subside....things should mix out today with slight chances of snow this coming weekend.......temps are forecasted to warm up a bit from yesterdays chilly conditions. The skiing conditions below Midway are fantastic due to our snowmaking system...probably would not be open right now with out it.

raisingarizona
Posts: 172
Joined: November 28th, 2010, 8:01 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby raisingarizona » January 6th, 2014, 11:31 pm

Lee Born kills it. His updates are informative, fun, and very local. Thanks Lee!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UVXEozaco6s#t=112

Stormlover
Posts: 38
Joined: November 18th, 2010, 8:21 pm

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Stormlover » January 7th, 2014, 8:21 am

raisingarizona wrote:Lee Born kills it. His updates are informative, fun, and very local. Thanks Lee!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UVXEozaco6s#t=112


Indeed, a "Ridge of Steel" Time for an Omega Block. In lieu of that, maybe a pattern change will follow the departure of the polar vortex that has put the mdiwest and east coast in a deep freeze and hopefully allowing the west coast ridge to weaken and at least let a few storms pass through.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather for 2013-2014

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 9th, 2014, 12:19 pm

1-9-14 The high pressure continues to dominate although there is a slight chance of something which means a greater chance of nothing. Enjoy the Spring skiing in January it can't last forever?


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