Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Discuss Northern Arizona weather and forecasts here.
Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 11th, 2013, 11:29 am

2-11-13 another 12 inches at 10800 in the last 24hrs......no snow after 5:30 yesterday....awesome conditions, lite density snow with some lite winds.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 12th, 2013, 8:32 am

2-12-13 Ratz....post frontal high buiding in bringing the winds from the north once again......There goes the pow here comes the slab.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 14th, 2013, 6:26 am

2-14-13 Happy V-day.....Spring is in the air once again.....Snowpack settled down fast with warming temps and the Upper Bowl and access to sidecountry is good....Winds gusty in am but balmy in afternoon. The "Bristlcone Highway" is set in and Temptations skiing fairly well with sticky conditions as you go from wet snow to cold snow in the shadows. Tryed to get some steep terrain trap sections to slab off with no results...good bonding to old snow and still soft on top. Wind is in forecast for Friday with strong inversions these last couple daze. Get some

raisingarizona
Posts: 172
Joined: November 28th, 2010, 8:01 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby raisingarizona » February 15th, 2013, 10:13 am

Hey BJ, The other day on our ski tour we were discussing a little about the crazy winds we get here, we all had some theories but none of were sure exactly why. The obvious to me is that it's a big mountain that rises up from the surrounding deserts like a massive island in the sky, I wondered if the warmer temps in those deserts all around had something to do with it but I really don't know.

I was hoping you might be able to better explain this local phenomenon for us. Thanks man!

If you want to move this to a different area of the forum I understand. I don't want to hi jack the weather update thread.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 16th, 2013, 6:44 am

It seems like way more wind these daze than in daze before....Part of the situation is the crazy weather patterns we are getting these days with Global Wierding.....the main cause of wind is the Pressure gradients after a Low passes thru and the High builds in.....the circulation is just way stronger than it has been in the past. I think there are more of us out there as well....we seem to get more dynamic changes in the pattern than usual....What is norm these daze? In any case there is a quantifialble change in the weather patterns as we know it...bigger, wetter, windier, drier, and all that.....its happening all over ....ski it while we have it

Willy
Posts: 47
Joined: October 24th, 2010, 6:27 pm

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Willy » February 16th, 2013, 10:45 am

"...there is a quantifialble change in the weather patterns as we know it...bigger, wetter, windier, drier, and all that.....its happening all over..."

Climatologists propose an explanation for this exaggerated weather phenomenon called "Arctic Amplification," wherein deceasing sea ice extent is decreasing latitudinal pressure gradients thereby weakening upper-level flow and amplifying and slowing eastward progression of waves (troughs and ridges). Some discussion of that here: http://wasatchweatherweenies.blogspot.com/2012/09/arctic-amplification-and-midlatitude.html

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 18th, 2013, 6:41 am

2-18-13 Thanks for the link Willy interesting read....One more day of Spring then a return to winter....Point forecast looks good for significant snowfall....we will be counting them as they fall......Hopefully the wind will leave us alone this cycle.....the back country is variably variable kind of like A-fib....(CEP joke)... Starting to corn up and melt freeze here and there Ski ya in the storm

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 20th, 2013, 6:47 pm

2-20-13 Winter returns with 3 inches new this morning and snowing on and off most of the day....piled up nicely in the late afternoon with another 6 inchers by 3:00 pm and still coming down.....super lite density snow and temps dropping....should be a another great powder day tomorrow....School was cancelled today including NAU......most of the storm went South and East......Count them as they fall......Deep Thursday tomorrow

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 22nd, 2013, 6:41 am

2-22-13 Yesterday the 21st 15 new and this morning another 5 in the last 24 hrs....storm cylce total was 23 inches at 10800'...very low density snow making for outstanding conditions. Base at 70"....Not quite enough cover to open the Upper Bowl due to the scouring winds last Friday.....Looks like a nice couple daze then more wind on Saturday nite and Sunday as the North post frontal winds set up again.....Stay tuned and check Arizonasnowbowl.com website for the latest status...Today starts Family Friday with a $10 lift ticket at 2:pm which will get you laps on Agassiz till 4 and Sunset and Hart Prairie till 6......great deal!!! Ski ya on the hill

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 24th, 2013, 6:52 am

2-24-13 Looking like another 2" in the last 24 hrs with a shift in winds to the North....Hopefully not too strong to turn this morning....Took a good look at the Upper Bowl yesterday and found some nice pockets of skiable terrain...unfortunately the wind has torn up the upper mountain too much to open to general public....We will allow access to the Saddle, IB or Ridge top if you want to check in with Dispatch at the top of Agassiz Chair. Stability was good with no energy in the snow but still pockets of poor sructure out there. The Rocks just below the blanket of new snow are the problem. Reports from OB are good with some of the same challenges out there as well.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 26th, 2013, 7:40 am

2-26-13 After a bitter cold couple mornings things finally warmed up yesterday afternoon......now the wind picks up with a delay yesterday and not sure whats in store today as forecast winds are high....I did get the data logger up and going again yesterday so the real time winds are back on line. Check the Agassiz site on the Rec Forecast......looks like a big H in the Indian Ocean may affect our next couple weeks out. Dry and warm spring like conditions are expected. Lots of wind as usual this time of year....."In like a lion out like a lamb" Hang in there Winter is not over yet...and skiing is great.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 6th, 2013, 4:54 pm

3-6-13 Spring weather all week with our first March Storm in the forecast....corning up in the afternoons this last few daze, looking forward to some freshness.....base is holding well with a few obstacles here and there.....Bring on the Deepness

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 8th, 2013, 12:52 pm

3-8-13 started snowing at day break this am and 4 to 7 inches so far by noon....Radar looking good and snow is heavy at times......Winds out of the South and arctic conditions on top.....great skiing,,,stay tuned for forecast and summary......Mikey Linvelle memorial Saturday the 9th at the Monte Vista....ski ya there.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 10th, 2013, 6:29 am

3-10-13 Great cylce of snow with a total of 22 new inches at 10800 by this am.....base around 75 inches and skiing is the "Fabulous"....The wind is gonna blow today so check the website for details of operations and possible delays...hoping it mixes out as the sun rised and heats thing up.....looks like a great week of Spring Skiing ahead....March is goiing fast don't miss out.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 15th, 2013, 6:43 am

3-15-13 "Beware of the ides of March" Spring is here this week with above normal temps and surf coming up around 10:30 on the sunny slopes.....a good corn cycle is developing and fat skis or boards working well in the afternoon....Good adventure awaits for those who love the slushy daze of late winter.....keep an eye on this next week and perhaps one more snow event before the equinox....Family Fridays continue with $10 lift tickets at 2.....Ski ya there

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 17th, 2013, 6:40 am

Happy St Paddy'z day...Equinox approaches rapidly and great corn skiing is happening.....still great cover and access to all terrain. A "straggling" storm cell moved thru late afternoon yesterday bringing snow from the heavens but no real accumulation....it looked like Monsoons in March there for a while. Only 21 Daze left to ride the chair so get it while you can.....aye laddie ski ya on the hill

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 23rd, 2013, 6:45 am

3-23-13 A blustery day in store as the NW winds crank up once more this early Spring....The groomers are skiing nicely, however the bumps are locked up in a frozen bone shaking arrangement......Looking like a nice April Fools storm in the forecast...stay tuned....April 7th is the last day of the lifts turning so get some while you can. Still holding at 62" up high.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 24th, 2013, 6:22 am

3-25-13 Windy Windy Windy.....89 mph gust yesterday with constant 60 plus all day, Northwest .....Chair 1 did not spin..expecting more wind today but not as strong...check website for status....Arizonasnowbowl.com. 2 inches of fresh pine cones yesterday and shiny conditions......dress for winter again today. Groomers will be good, surf up at 11:00 am

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » March 28th, 2013, 6:30 am

3-28-13 Spring Skiing is in full swing with good creamed corn starting around 10:30 am ....bump runs unlocking in late afternoon in the heat of the day....No lines and great skiing for only a few more daze......check arizonasnowbowl.com website for details on operations.
Last family Friday tomorrow..only $10 at 2:pm to 6 pm....We will not be open next mon - thru Thursday the open for one last weekend
10 to 4 Friday thru Sunday....The backcountry should be good for another month if you can get good access.

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » April 4th, 2013, 7:33 am

4-4-13 Warmest days of Spring coming up ...The mountain is open one last Friday the 5th Sat 6th and Sunday 7th from 10 to 4 spring hours....Still good cover on the upper mountain with surf up at 10:30 am...Last chance to ride the lift and see all your friends....check th website out for details ...ski ya there

Kaptain Safe T
Posts: 315
Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » April 7th, 2013, 7:16 am

4-7-13 The final day of operations for the 2013 season is upon us....looks like a great day on the hill making this a 105 day season.....Of course there is one more storm in the forecast tomorrow....looks like a high snow level with a few inches in the forecast...The current conditions are good with slushy creamed corn snow on the tilled surfaces by 10:30am...bumps soft by noon and still remarkable cover.
The backcountry should be good for a while so break out the skins and get some. A big Thanks to all who visited the site and or contributed to KPAC in any way.....Hope you keep posting and have fun safe adventures this Spring and Summer. This is the Kaptain speaking going 10-7 signing off.


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