Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Discuss Northern Arizona weather and forecasts here.
Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » December 31st, 2012, 2:48 pm

Another 2 inches by time I emptied the stakes 6 to 10 total punching up 40 at midway. Beautiful day!!!!!
Wraparound wonderland.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 2nd, 2013, 8:20 am

1-2-13 big inversion this morning above Midway....27 degrees on top, 3 degrees at 9500 feet....looking like next chance for moisture coming next week. Ended up with 6 to 10 inches from the last December storm cycle.....lite density snow made for a great couple powder days. The ski area is skiing well but the backcountry is still a wee bit thin....lots of logsticles and rocksticles out there....some nice quality snow nonetheless. Rock skis and full motocross protection recommended OB. Hope 2013 gets deep.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 3rd, 2013, 1:03 pm

1-3-13 Windy day with base flow of 40 plus at top with gusts to 50 in the compression of the Saddle. Chair 1 closed for wind. Lower mountain open and extreme conditions...We will be looking forward to next snow storm....remember
Wind = Storm

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 5th, 2013, 6:21 am

1-5-13 A beautiful Blue Bird day yesterday with chilly upper mnt temps but balmy lower mountian conditions....another big inversion this am with 4 degrees at ft valley and 34 on top. Hope we get that angry inch or 2 on Monday....check out RA'z vid on trip reports...good stash of pow...not the case on most other aspects...got into the wind slab a bit yesterday myself. Keep those vids coming as well as the snow.

raisingarizona
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby raisingarizona » January 7th, 2013, 8:21 am

Looks like something might happen around Friday? Fingers crossed.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 9th, 2013, 10:49 am

1-9-13 Big wind on the 8th with gusts to 50 mph from the North. Delay on opening chair 1 till 12pm. Today is inverted with temps in the mid 30s. Snow in forecast stay tuned.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 12th, 2013, 6:43 am

1-11-13 Fast moving storm starting late afternoon on the 10th produced 7 inches of new snow at 10800' This was accompanied by strong SW winds with speeds over 50 pm with higher gusts. The skies were clearing by morning of the 11th....Coldest temps of the winter for the next few daze. Dress for the Arctic Blast. Squeeky January conditions....See Summary on home page....Nice work KPAC

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 13th, 2013, 6:43 am

1-13-13 Another chilly day in store....lite flurries yesterday with no accumulation but great skiing to be had. Dress for the frigid.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 15th, 2013, 1:24 pm

1-15-13 Still feeling arctic out with the last 5 daze setting the coldest in over 20 years....Wind is the main thing on the menu today with gusts to 60 plus earlier this am. Chair 1 on wind hold...subzero to single digits this entire weekend with great skiing. not bad for only 31 inches at 10800....The backcountry posts and vids by RA are amazing....Can't wait for the deep to get here. Pockets are out there but not much energy in them. Tread gently its still early for the northland snowpack

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 20th, 2013, 6:18 am

Feeling more like Spring this entire weekend. From Artic cold to warm and sunny with lite winds for the last several daze. South and SW slopes burning off rapidly. Melt Freeze conditions are starting to change up the snowpack. Strong inversion remains in place with the H pressure conditions. Keep an eye on the next weekends developing pattern....Think Snow

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 24th, 2013, 6:33 am

1-24-13 The warm and Spring like daze are about to end with a favorable forecast ahead. High clouds will heat up the snowpack again today with "corn" like skiing on the sunnyiest of slopes....still hard packed on upper mountain....This next system looks to be quite warm in the beginning but right side up by the end. I am starting to smell pineapples. Get your phat skis ready.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 26th, 2013, 1:43 pm

1-26-13 @1pm new snow 12 inches at 10800 feet. ...4 inches at 9500' very poor bonding to old snow ....numerous soft slabs observed while ski cutting terrain traps in ski area. Snow levels around 9300 feet, very wet and slushy snow below that elevation. Forecast looking good for significant snow by end of cycle...tread gently out there.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 27th, 2013, 6:34 am

1-27-13 another 14 inches fell in the last 24 hours bringing totals for this cycle to over 21 inches at 10800'. Bonding is very poor to old snow layer and weight of new snow has produced lots of energy in snowpack with easily triggered slabs on terrain over 30 plus degrees. Let things settle down till you start dropping in the steeps and keep an eye on each other....even in the trees there is quite a bit of collapsing going on in the saturated layers beneath the new snow.....The forecast looks good for colder temps and more snow....Pow Pow.....We will mitigate once we can see the upper bowl and terrain in our permit area....please and thanks for staying out of the upper bowl area!!!!

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 28th, 2013, 6:23 am

1-28-13 The storm continues to produce with 11 inches in the last 24 hours at 10800....33" cycle with more in forecast today....Snow levels are dropping creating lighter snow....20% densities were measured by a level one class the last couple daze....the density will get lighter today.....there is wind in the forecast so get it while you can.....The North wind will not be welcome.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 29th, 2013, 5:42 am

1-29-13 As of 4 pm yesterday another 12 inches of lite 4% to 6 % had fallen by sweep with base over 63" at 10800...It was still "puking" snow at over 2" per hour as I was driving off the hill......We will be conducting Avalanche mitigation this morning and the Entire Bowl side of the ski area will be closed until "Control" work is complete.....Expect delays !!!! Safety on the mountain is Paramount...Total snowfall from this cycle well over 45" by yesterday afternoon. We will open terrain as conditions permit....the snowpack seemed to be settling down a bit as the temperature dropped but new snow sluffing was occuring on slopes over 35 degrees. These conditions can produce "Tree Well" hazards so keep an eye on each other out there.....Wind is still in the forecast but skiing should be epic.
As I like to say Safety is NO Accident

maadjurguer
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby maadjurguer » January 29th, 2013, 11:32 am

Finally a storm we can cheer over....
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tripice351
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby tripice351 » January 29th, 2013, 6:40 pm

maadjurguer wrote:Finally a storm we can cheer over....


I was there Sunday, and it was looking like the most coverage I've seen this season.. With 2 more feet since then, it's gotta finally be getting somewhere. Awaiting the stoke..

Looking at the past season snowfall totals on AZSB, this first half of the season has gone from as bad or worse as the past 2, to being 2-3 weeks ahead of the curve. Nice.
Marc aka tripice351

Stormlover
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Stormlover » January 29th, 2013, 8:14 pm

Spent most of my day skiing slackcountry and no instabilities were noted. The wind, however, was nuking hard from the west-northwest. It jogged my memory a bit to a similar day in 1995 when the ridgeline on Agassiz was wind-loaded big time from that direction with disastrous results in Monte Vista.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » January 30th, 2013, 8:15 am

Storm totals at 20 to 48 inches, undisturbed settled base made it to 34" 9500' and 63" at 10800; and settling a few over nite....Hazard Reduction was done yesterday morning with no significant results ( we try not to call it Control)....small fractures and sluffing were observed but no large occurrences were produced....The Shiprocks were peppered and craters were produced throughout the Bowl into Sundance. Ski cutting was also done with no signs of instability .....The Upper Bowl and all adjacent terrain was open by 11:30 am for the first time this season....Epic skiing for sure.....Unfortunately the wind is on this morning and chair 1 is on hold due to high winds from the North .....hopefully these will relax later this morning. The snowpack settled down quite a bit once the temps dropped but remember Wind = Storm...Wind slab should be expected to develop on leeward slopes from these blustery conditions this morning......Use your "Powers Of Observation"....please post any observaitons. The Backcountry is starting to open up....be preppared and expect the unexpected.

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 1st, 2013, 6:29 am

2-1-13 Its already February....time is sure feeling excellerated this winter....A beautiful blue bird day coming our way with great snow conditions...The wind did change things up off piste but the mountain made it thru except for the wind guage....We repaired the anemometer at 12,500 but need to reset for good feed to NOAA. Wind speeds and icing have produced a textured layer on the surface in the trees but the open slopes and meadows are in good shape. Looks like a mostly dry week ahead with slight chance of something Sunday nite / Monday......Happy 75th to the ASB

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 3rd, 2013, 2:02 pm

2-3-13 Super Bowl Sunday with lite snow...1 inch of new snow at 10800 by 2:pm today and great skiing continues. Looking forward to a little more this afternoon and evening. Stay tuned for more action and adventure later this week.

Kaptain Safe T
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Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 6th, 2013, 9:16 am

2-6-13...Data logger down at top of Agassiz...took a beating in the wind and sent in for repair......Spring like conditions exist with corn snow developing on SW facing slopes and melt freeze everywhere else. The groooming is amazing this season once again and the coverage is great......looking like some cold weather and lite density snow headed our way...winter contiunes mixed with spring sessions in between. Enjoy it while you have it...Cheers

Kaptain Safe T
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Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 8th, 2013, 3:34 pm

2-8-13 Winter is back with rapidly dropping temps and snow showers developing around 2:30 pm today. Forecast looks good for powder skiing the next few daze....Winds are strong from the SW not affecting the chairlift but upslope in many places making winter recreation challenging for some. Stay tuned for updates from your local weather service.....Think snow

Kaptain Safe T
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Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 9th, 2013, 12:28 pm

2-9-13 Over 12 inches new at Midway by noon today coming in at 4%.....Best powder skiing of the season.....more on the way....pace yourselves winter is back....

Kaptain Safe T
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Joined: October 30th, 2010, 8:57 am

Re: Winter Weather Observations ASB 2012-2013

Postby Kaptain Safe T » February 10th, 2013, 6:36 am

2-10-13 Another 19 in the last 24 hrs bringing the cycle total to 24 " at 10800'....pushing undisturbed settled base close to 70 "......lots of snow in a short time period.....red flags should be going up....observed propatation in the top 10 " of new snow yesterday as failure occurs on the density changes on slopes over 35 degrees. Splitboarder observed this in The Dutchman yesterday. Lots of new snow in forecast.....We will be mitigating the hazard in the Upper Bowl as soon as we can see it.....This will be another epic day on the mountain...recommended to bring your avy gear and expect the unexpected.......as a wise Patroller said to me......."don't rush the magic".Stay tuned for more info as it comes in.


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